Another Quebec election

Question: Will Quebec's minority liberal government fall over its first budget?
Response: Obviously, they won't be able to avoid that fall over since both opposition parties (ADQ, PQ) seem to be against the budget.
Now, if they go to elections again, this summer, it will be interesting to see what will happen: there would have been so little actions from the government (since it's a relatively short period of governance) that I don't see any substancial motivation to vote for or against the government.
My guess is that the reduction of taxes proposed by the government may be the only decisive factor in the majority of votes and still, what a great intrigue: will people buy the anti-taxes arguments of ADQ? or will they be sympathic to the government?

I personally take quite abit of interest in politics so il give you my views on this matter.

Liberals
First off, the Charest goverment had no choice but to put the tax reductions in his budget given the fact that he has been promising them for the past 5 years and has never delivered on that promiss. It is also one of his main selling points when he was campagning for the march elections so to not deliver on that promiss again would make him lose total integrety. I think the Liberals have a little crisis on their hands. They have Jean Charest as a leader a man who is most probably one of the most billingual politicians in Québec, also a man who brought the liberals back to power in a pretty dark era for this party. But with all that has been going on i think he is doing his party more bad then good by staying in place because he is quite hated by everyone even the people who vote for him lol. The problem is their is not really anyone qualified to replace him the 2 most likely candidates are Monique-Jérome-Forget and Couillard but Forget is pretty old and she is not all that much liked even if she is the one with the most experience. Couillard seems to be well liked even given his position as Health care Minister which usually ends up costing those Ministers alot of popularity because its such a hard enveloppe to manage. So we got to see what will happen on this front.

ADQ
A party leaded by the popular yet un- experience Mario Dumont which seems to have trouble explaining what exactly his values are. On one side he says help the middle class and old people then tax reductions come which leviate about 1000$ off of the middle classes payroll and he seems appaulled and angry? Maybe hes just an unhappy man who knows. His depute in

charge of finance Gilles Taillon is totally without integrety a few years back when he was still in a buissiness man he was asking for most of the stuff the Monique-Forget budget is offering now hes angry and thinks its horrible until. However the big boom came when Radio-Canada interviewed him and showed him a clip of what he had said a few years back making him look like a idiot. ( and he did he was baffled when he saw that lol.) Personally i think Mario Dumont is a guy who is young and still has alot to learn before he ever becomes in my eyes a person who i would vote for to govern the province i live in. As much as i dont like most of the PQ's values i have to admit i would rather see them being governement then Mario Dumont, because atleast they have their values and they stick to them. A good example of this is the Débat des Chefs in which Mario Dumont proved his lack of integrety going into a media event such as this without a budget. His only argument was that he didn't feel like doing it twice is that smart to say? Your to lazy to make a budget twice so u just dont do it? Anyways also his idea of parti ''Nationalist'' is pretty dumb to be honnest it sounds like one of those adds where you try to stay in the middle to grab votes from everyone. Worths of all he is not even able to explain what his '' Nationalist'' position is which i found quite funny. Anyways all in all i think their is light at the end of the tunnel with him probably not if he stays in the ADQ but maybe if he eventually joins the liberals as many medias are currently anticipating in the future years. The problem is hes still young and has alot to learn and prove to the people before they decide to put him in office.

Parti Québécois
Ok just so theirs no confusion i am completly against sovereinty. With that said i have often wanted to vote for this party because i found some of theirs interesting. However with the coming of Boisclair i think most people have lost alot of faith in this party specially with its insistance of a referendum when people oviously dont want one anymore. I mean dont we have enough problems? You know what i find the most curious is they can't even establish a budget or plan on how are economy would work if this seperation would infact take place so by that logic all they want is to seperate and see what happens after. Personally id rather not even imagine what would happen. With that said this party has members who have quite abit of experience in politics. People like Francois Legault, Pauline Marois which by the way i am starting to like since she said she did not want a referendum for now. This party is most probably the one that sticks the most to its values. This could be a good thing and a bad thing, it is proven that most parties that are able to modify or adapt their values are the most successful ones. Take for example the Liberals their values fluctuate year per year yet they are the most sucessful party on both the Federal scale and the provincial in Québec. With that said i will watch what will happen with this party in the next months because it is up to Marois to either bring back this party by changing some of its values or it will most probably vanish like l'Union Nationale of good old Maurice.

Ok my hands are getting tired from all this typing therefore to come at my conclusion. Will their be elections? Its a hard question to answer given that i dont think its possible to answer it until a little latter in the week. It really depends on if Charest will budge and if the opposition decide to listen to the people who are clearly saying NO ELECTIONS. But in my eyes i dont think their will be elections i think charest knows elections are not the best thing right now even if the PQ's money reserves are empty and they dont even have a leader. I think he still fears l'ADQ and will adapt his budget to stay in office. OR he will play politics poker style and he will go into elections to try and get a majority if he fails he will most likely retire and leave the place to either Monique-Jérome-Forget or Phillippe Couillard.

Lets just remenber one thing. Elections cost about 75 Millions and when i say 75 million i mean just the voting stations and their employes. That does not include the little signs all over the place and the people who put them up or the money that goes to each party to advertise. So With that said do u think its not hipocritical to tell Charest's governement to not waiste money when they are on the other hand treatening to waiste 200+ Million on elections when we just had some 2 months ago?

My political forecast: election or no election, now or future, Quebec's government officials will be assholes and so will their opposition.

Its a good thing not everybody thinks like you lol. Politicians public image usually either take a turn for the good or the worse its rare some stay neutral specially when their elected. The problem in Quebec is we have so many problems and we cant seem to elect a leader who solves them. When the PQ was in power it stoped investing in infrastructures and roads which gave them tons and tons of extra money but pretty much made the crappy roads we have today. Then the liberals won and they are doing good progress on fixing the roads i must admit everywhere i go i see them patching and redoing roads BUT all this spending is making the public Debt go up its currently 123,4 Billion and it keeps going up which is not good HOWEVER it is also going down if you compare it in percentage to the PIB it went from 42,2 to 41 this year so as long as that keeps going down their is no need to sound the alarms.

Hmm politics My passion.

You see the problem is the concept of tax reduction is a illusion. The reason for this is because is the french expression '' Donner d'une main, prendre de l'autre''. The governement gives a tax reduction of 950 Million yes, but when you look at from a micro economics point you notice that well look at that Hydro rate going up, oh look gas is going up, oh look the value of my house is going up Yay no wait Crap means i got to pay more taxes, and oh dang car insurance cost more. So out of the 1k u might get from this tax reduction u pretty much receive a big nada in the end. On the other hand, we have some of the best universities in the world here that are accumulating huge deficits like UQUAM and McGill. I went to both these schools and let me tell you they are both excellent schools with excellent teachers BUT, when it comes the time to look at the other aspects of the school well lets see the buildings are falling appart most of the equipement is old, the computers are Pentium II's. Oviously this doesn't apply everywhere and they have been improving this, but the main problem remains that the university is in debt. Normally id say so what everyone and everything has debts but you see a university doesn't really have revenues hang on i know what ur thinking '' Hey we pay money to go to school ''. Oviously we pay money but not only is it cheaper here then in any university in North America we also have excellent schools. Now what we pay the rate is about 1280$ per session so double 2560$. Ok it infact cost about 10000$ per student so what we pay is actually like 25% of what it cost to go to school the goverment assumes the rest of the Bling. McGill being one the the richest universities in Canada has an Endowment of about $832.8 Million which is no small ammount compared to the $89,3 Million Université the Montreal has. People need to realise that the problem is not one of funding but one of structure. Everything is relative everything has balance. For every cause their is a consequence sometimes i wonder if politics ever followed philosophy classes. In Health care no matter how much money we throw at the problem their will always be a problem in that area why? ( Cause) Well oviously for many reason firsts off being the lack of funding in education.(Consequence) The very core of a civilization is created by the people who inhabit it. Which is why no country is equal. In Quebec are problem is quite clear we have a lack of docters and specially nurses. Why? might have something to do with the Parti Québécois basicly firering all kinds of nurses after the 1995 referendum.
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Im going to write the rest in french so everyone will understand a little part lol.

Bon ! comme je disais, le PQ a l'air de nous prendre pour des idiots en essayant de tous cacher leurs erreurs des années ou ils ont ''Essayer'' de gouverner le Québec. Cette période de a été marqué par des conséquence qui nous affectent encore aujourd'hui en 2007... je pense entre autres aux retraites pour les infirmières... le PQ ne devait pas s'attendre qu'autant d'infirmière en profiterait... alors la conséquence aujourd'hui est qu'il faut attendre un MINIMUM de 9 à 10 heures pour passer à l'urgence... alors qu'en 1990, c'était un MAXIMUM de 2 heures!

Pourquoi les docteurs ne veulent t'il pas rester ici? ben honnêtement je ne les comprends il se font payer 80% de ce que les autres docteurs du pays ce font payer d'autant plus que leurs conditions de travails sont affreuse.

Alors il y a tu une solution a ce problème? Bien disons qu'on parle de sa assez longtemps pour avoir pris compte de presque toute les possibilités. D'après moi, nous devons avoir un système de santé a deux vitesses tout en maintenant le cap sur l'égalité entre ses deux services. L'élément naturels des lois des marchés prendrons naissances et on remarquera une compétition entre ces dernières qui rendrera nos hopitaux plus modernisé. Par contre, il faut aussi faire attention, il ne faut pas que tous les docteurs se dirige vers le privé, donc il faut leur donné de meilleurs conditions de travail et des salaires compétitif. On peut s'imaginer qu'avec l'arrivé de plusieurs centre privé le gouvernement recevera d'avantage de revenus. Bref, avant de s'attaquer à la santé il faut arranger l'éducation, nous avons les meilleurs universités au monde si on prend en compte prix / qualité de plus le plus d'université par habitant. Plus de 15 université pour une population de 7 Million. Il y a déja des écoles qui sont très compétitif comme McGill pour la santé et en droits et pour les finances l'administration l'université Des Hautes Études Commerciales figure parmis dans le top 10 des écoles de gestion mondial.

Cela dit, il ne reste qu'une chose a faire. Attendre a demain voir si nous allons retournée aux urnes et dépenser un autre 80 Million que nous avons pas. L'une chose est sure le PQ ne veut pas d'élection lol il sont sans chef, Pauline Marois ne sera pas élue avant le 28 Juin et les élections aurons lieu première semaine de Juillet ce qui va faire très pitier pour eux. Et je pense que Tête de pigeon (Je parle de Dumont, je sais que vous pensiez a Harper LOL) sait qu'il a un lucky streak et qu'il n'est pas aussi 'populaire' qu'il prétend l'être. Il a un cabinet de ministre qui ont absolument aucune expérience en politique d'ailleurs lui non plus en a pas car il n'a jamais eu plus de 6 siège ce qui fait que c'est la première fois qu'il siège a la chambre d'assembler. Son ministre en charge des finances est une joke il c'est fait complètement démolir a radio-canada par Dominique Poirier qui je pense a du bien rire de sa guele LOL.

Pour mes good old Libs. Bon je pense que c'est le temps que Charest acroche ses souliers et qu'il ce retire de la politique. Il y avait un temps que notre petit mouton Ministre était un Boy wonder, mais avec tous les problèmes auquel il fait face et son arrogance envers le peuple je pense qu'il est devenu plus haïe que Notre Pigeon at Ottawa Harper. Alors, pour le bon de son partie il devrait laisser sa place a qq'un d'autre ou il doit changer son caractère sinon son gouvernement va tomber et quand je dit tomber je parle pas de son budget je parle qu'il ne se feront pas ré élire.

Bon Ouf, j'attend une réplique pour écrire un autre livre lol.

Hang on i think you guys missed something the tax cuts only apply for this year. He never said it would be reccuring lol. U get them this year but dont think about getting them again lol.

jimace said:

I hope that people punish the politicians on the next election if we are forced to go to election so soon. However, I'm not sure who they will punish. Will they punish the Liberals for sticking to the "unpopular" tax cut? Will they punish the ADQ for absolutely refusing to negotiate thereby forcing an election if the PQ doesn't come to an agreement with the Liberals? Or will they punish the PQ for holding the balance of power and not siding with the Liberals on the budget?

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In such a scenario I would hope that voters would punish the ADQ and the PQ. All politicians are scumbags and Charest may have the smallest set of balls in North America but in this case he is being crucified for honoring his campaign promise. If he had not proposed tax cuts, the same bastards who are vilifying him for them would be stoning him for not fulfilling his promise.

Face it - the vermin in the PQ are hoping to topple the government because they finally got rid of their coke-snorting gay liability "I'll never apologize", they watched the "courageous" (chuckle!) departure of Gilles "Cheese Condom" Duceppe and they believe that Queen Pauline (who has finally ascended after previous failed attempts) will lead them to the promised land.

As for less-than-super Mario, he's so close to the throne that he can taste it.

Charest and his crew aren't much to be proud of but in this case they're head and shoulders above the other rats trying to climb up on the dinner table.

Equanimity said:

So you don't want the tax cuts ? Hey the taxpayers in Alberta would love their money back because that is who is effectively paying this....so if you don't want it.......

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Pardon me? What does Alberta have to do with us? If ur thinking that because they are rich because of the oil which is a product they will run out of eventually compared to us with electricity which will last forever i dont see the logic there.


First off Alberta is not in any way responsible for the money we got even so they are kind of a bunch of cheapo's they refuse to include their precious oil in the calculation of equalization which does that they keep all the money they make from that which well as u know is pretty much the only thing they have going down there appart from steaks loal? And before Alberta started pumping oil like crazy it was a poor poor province and guess what the poorest get the most out of equalization. Now Quebec is like 2nd or 3rd poorest so we get more not to mention their was a reason behind harper giving it to Quebec. First off because Charest is his good bud and also to calm down the Seperation idea by '' Fixing'' the fiscal imbalance even if he didn't fix it.

So by that logic the tax payers in Quebec want their money back for all the years we payed for Alberta's Chunk of Money

Equanimity said:

In such a scenario I would hope that voters would punish the ADQ and the PQ. All politicians are scumbags and Charest may have the smallest set of balls in North America but in this case he is being crucified for honoring his campaign promise. If he had not proposed tax cuts, the same bastards who are vilifying him for them would be stoning him for not fulfilling his promise.

Face it - the vermin in the PQ are hoping to topple the government because they finally got rid of their coke-snorting gay liability "I'll never apologize", they watched the "courageous" (chuckle!) departure of Gilles "Cheese Condom" Duceppe and they believe that Queen Pauline (who has finally ascended after previous failed attempts) will lead them to the promised land.

As for less-than-super Mario, he's so close to the throne that he can taste it.

Charest and his crew aren't much to be proud of but in this case they're head and shoulders above the other rats trying to climb up on the dinner table.

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I like this guy lol. He has a interesting way of seeing things lol. I liked duceppe before he decided to play Spin the bottle. Even if i am against most of his values particularly the R word i still found him to be a good politician now i think hes just a beef jerky.

Equanimity said:

Just reported on CTV news that even though the PQ and the Liberals haven't arrived at a deal, the PQ will still vote against the budget but it will not bring down the ruling Liberals since the PQ will only send a few of its elected members to the vote. If you add the ADQ members with the number of elected members that the PQ will bring won't be sufficient to bring down the Liberals.

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Yes i just saw this the PQ will only send 3 debuties out of their 36 to vote which will make the goverment live another day. I guess i was right BUT BUT BUT this is not good for Mario Dumont not one bit. I have said it before the Constipated Pigeon man is a idiot and he will look like more of a asshole when his hole party which consist of 41 Deputies will vote AGAINST the budget and the PQ will be the ones to save the Libs by using a old naughty trick. You know whats funny i met Dumont at a conference at the HEC where i study and if u thought charest was arrogant wait u have not seen nothing yet. Dumont did not even go to the meeting which he was invited to by charest to negociate he just said flat out no... I mean what kind of a idiot is this guy. Infact after his speech he was shaking hands and the usual routine and he put his hand in front of me i refused to shake his hand lol Burn. Seriously people dont know who this guy is. Wait till he gets a taste of power and everyone will Pray to the stars for Charest back. Atleast he compromised Dumont doesn't know the meaning of the word.

Be carful in interpreting polls specially Crop ones they always favor the everyone but the liberal's personally i doubt they would of lost another election it would of been the same result which is why they didn't bother. Finally the libs are doing something right the money they added to the budget to pay for the PQ's demands they will be taking it from the banks and the oil compagnies since they pools of money.