...The problem now is that if we were to accept a minor league team, we would be stuck with it forever...Montreal is a major league city...
Rumples, we've discussed this before and you know that I whole-heartedly agree that, all things being equal, it would be better for Montreal to get a major league team than to settle for a minor league team. I would absolutely love to go to an Expos game on a midsummer night at a nice new stadium within easy reach of downtown.
My suggestion of settling for a minor league team is based on my belief that there are too many financial, political and practical problems to overcome in order for the Expos to return. When I think about all the factors that conspire against the return of major league baseball to Montreal, it seems
impossible.
However, as the French say,
Impossible n'est pas français! Furthermore, like my good friend Rick Blaine, under my cynical shell, I am at heart a sentimentalist.
So let's briefly review the key challenges to overcome in order to bring back the Expos.
First you need a team owner or ownership group with the financial means, business acumen and desire to bring back major league baseball. Montreal
might have such a group, i.e. the group of potential investors led by
Stephen Bronfman. Bronfman has the famous name but he doesn't have as much of a track record as the more famous members of his Montreal family. Still the Bronfman group is the one seemingly serious group of investors who are committed to the cause of bringing back the Expos. So they probably deserve our support.
Second, you need money,
lots of it. Bringing back the Expos would require two
huge investments: 1) the cost of acquiring a franchise (either by buying an existing one such as Oakland or Tampa Bay or by paying an expansion fee); and 2) the cost of building a stadium. Either cost by itself is very significant. Combine them and you are talking about a US $1-2B investment. How much money can the potential Bronfman group put together? I have no idea but they give the impression that the money is or will be there.
On verra.
Third, you need the support of both fans
and businesses. I think the fan support is there though no one knows how deep it is. Is it deep enough to pay the very high ticket prices typically charged by major league teams these days? Is it deep enough to make the fans show up to support a losing team over the course of a long season? Is it deep enough to make some fans show up when the weather sucks for baseball, the way it often does until June rolls around? The modern economics of baseball also demand that businesses support a team by buying season tickets and renting luxury boxes. Would Montreal businesses do their part to support the team?
Peut-être, je ne sais pas.
Fourth, you need
political support. The city government, led by the mayor, and probably the provincial and federal governments must be on board too. I don't mean they must provide direct
financial support for purchasing a team and/or building a stadium. Direct financial support is out of the question. However government officials, starting with the mayor, need to be willing to commit to paying some infrastructure costs (roads, public transport, land, utilities) associated with acquiring a site for and building a stadium. Government officials also need to be willing to battle NIMBY (Not in my back yard) opponents of stadium construction. It's inevitable that such NIMBY opposition will arise as soon an actual site is chosen.
Fifth, you need an appropriate site for a new stadium. The much discussed "Peel Basin" site is not perfect, but as Voltaire said "
Le mieux est l'enemmi du bien." When I look at maps of the city and Google street views and review proposed plans, I agree that the Peel Basin is sill a
possibility for a new stadium. Here are some interesting drawings of how a stadium could fit into this location:
https://urbantoronto.ca/forum/threads/montreal-new-baseball-stadium.20117/page-2
There are other obstacles to bringing back the Expos besides the well-known ones that I have reviewed. All the major challenges have been the same for the last several years and yet no real progress seems to have been made in overcoming them. That's why I would not bet on the return of major league baseball and the Expos to Montreal and I would personally settle for the return of minor league baseball to Montreal.
Nevertheless I would
prefer to see the return of major league baseball and the Expos and I
hope that it does happen...at least before you, Rumples, and I are no longer of this world.