Dodgers/Red sox trade: A No-Win Situation?
Forget for a second the notion of a baseball trade that helps both clubs.
How about a trade that's equally toxic for both parties?
As the Dodgers and Red Sox ponder a trade of such blockbuster proportions it'd make Michael Bay blush, we can only hope each club takes a step back and asks:
Adrian Gonzalez would create a lineup void if he departed the Red Sox, but the Dodgers might soon find payroll inflexibility if they took on three huge Boston contracts.
Is this good for the company?
It's easy to understand both franchises' motivations for making the deal.
The Dodgers, with new managing general partner Mark Walter showing he's the real Magic man of this ownership group, are ready to power-wash the grim final days of the Frank McCourt era, papering over the embarrassment of a bankrupt franchise with wads of cash and shiny new players.
The Red Sox, ravaged by tens of millions of dollars of injured personnel, embarrassed by clubhouse chicken 'n beer, rogue text messages to ownership and a manager who seems as bad a fit for the Hub as many imagined, are all too eager to hit the reset button.
So sending Adrian Gonzalez, Carl Crawford, Josh Beckett (and the $261 million owed them) along with Nick Punto (congrats, you're now a trivia question!) to the Dodgers gives the Red Sox a new life. And rolling the dice on unproven but intriguing talents such as Rubby De La Rosa and Jerry Sands may yield a big return.
And if you're a Dodger fan, it's hard not to salivate over the notion of an offensively-dysfunctional club having one of baseball's great run-producers in Gonzalez bracketed by Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier. Or the production potential of a star-studded and utterly athletic outfield manned by a healthy Crawford, Kemp and Ethier, all signed through at least 2017.
But let's stop looking at this through a sepia-toned lens for just a second and ponder what's not good.
First, the Red Sox.
General manager Ben Cherington may very well be seen as a conquering hero if he dumps the $32 million owed an embattled Beckett the next two seasons, along with the $157 million due the suddenly brittle Crawford and the $127 million Gonzalez will get through 2018.
But the Red Sox, with their two World Series titles last decade (and that seems a long time ago, yeah?), are playing in a market big on expectations and short on patience. Taking TNT to the roster is a great thing, but only if an organization has the time and space to build things back up properly.
In Boston, that ain't happening.
So while it's great that the Red Sox would be shedding the absurdly awful Crawford contract, and ridding an apparent clubhouse scourge in Beckett, and at the least the proverbial "bad fit in Boston" in Gonzalez, it does create one problem.
There is no middle of the order.
Gonzalez, though his power numbers have been in some decline, would be no small loss. He didn't turn into the monster many predicted hitting at Fenway Park, but he did produce a .957 OPS in an MVP-caliber 2011, and despite a lackluster 2012 campaign, he's still a .300 hitter this year in a season of poor health and many distractions.
Take away his automatic 30-homer, 100-RBI production, and what do you have?
An outstanding young hitter in Will Middlebrooks, and no one around him.
So, remember all that cash the Red Sox just saved?
Well, they better go out and lavish much it upon Josh Hamilton, whose leverage would skyrocket with this deal.
And here's the biggest problem with dealing Gonzalez: He's a relative bargain.
Gonzalez agreed to a seven-year, $154 million contract extension in December 2011. Since then, the game's financial landscape has undergone a Jenner-esque alteration.
Albert Pujols extracted $240 million from the Angels. Joey Votto was guaranteed an additional quarter-billion dollars by the Reds.
And now, the Red Sox must venture into this market for a power hitter, suddenly the scarcest commodity in the game.
Hamilton is the only legitimate bopper available this winter. He is well in position to make Gonzalez's contract look like chump change.
And he would come with the caveats of a body that sends him to the disabled list at least once every year, as well as the specter of his addiction history.
Good fit in Boston? Yeah, maybe Gonzalez doesn't look so bad now.
And as for the Dodgers?
Well, it's true that any sun-splashed day at Chavez Ravine is all the brighter when Frank McCourt doesn't own the team. But it's almost like Joseph and Co. are taking the club back to the pre-McCourt days, when Fox owned the Dodgers.
That era actually was less successful than the McCourt Era, marked by bad contracts (Kevin Brown, $105 million) and the lack of a cohesive plan.
Which begs the question: What, exactly, is the Dodgers' plan?
General manager Ned Colletti, who is assured of having a job exactly as long as a Mitt Romney campaign employee, seems to be throwing players and money around as if this were the be-all, end-all season for the Dodgers.
Let's just take Beckett and Hanley Ramirez, who the Dodgers acquired on July 25. Two guys in decline who had on-field and clubhouse issues in their most recent stops. Suddenly, it's good business to deal prospects and take on the roughly $63 million for two seasons of Beckett and Ramirez?
It should be noted that the Dodgers were 53-46 and 2 1/2 games out of first when they dealt for Ramirez. Since then: 14-12, and 2 1/2 games out of first.
And as for Crawford? Well congratulations, Barry Zito! You no longer have the worst contract in the NL West. Crawford, who had Tommy John surgery Thursday and may not be ready for the start of next season, will earn at least $20 million for the next five seasons, bringing in $21 million in 2017, when he's 35.
If Fenway Park did a number on his offensive production, just wait 'til he tries hitting at Dodger Stadium.
And that's ultimately where this is a bad fit.
Crawford-Kemp-Gonzalez-Ramirez-Ethier make for a nifty 2-6 in the lineup. In 2013, they'll also make a combined $90 million.
That's more than halfway to baseball's luxury tax threshold of $178 million for five players - one coming off Tommy John surgery.
And that's without paying a single dollar toward a pitcher.
Trouble is, pitching still rules in the NL West. And while the Dodgers have one of the best in Clayton Kershaw, the next four of Beckett, Chad Billingsley, Chris Capuano and Aaron Harang won't exactly send Giants fans crying into their glasses of Pinot Noir.
Oh, and by the way, Mr. Joseph: Do you still have a spare $160 million lying around for Mr. Kershaw in 2015?
Hey dude, if you wanna skyrocket past the luxury tax time and again, good on you. But collecting aging and wildly expensive malcontents isn't exactly the most progressive way to go about building a franchise.
Surely Joseph can spare the $1.30 to Redbox a copy of Moneyball one of these nights?
Maybe he ought to do just that this weekend. Let this deal swirl around a bit, sleep on it, wake up and see if it's really the right thing to do.
Which brings us to another old baseball saw: Sometimes the best trades are the ones you don't make.
Forget for a second the notion of a baseball trade that helps both clubs.
How about a trade that's equally toxic for both parties?
As the Dodgers and Red Sox ponder a trade of such blockbuster proportions it'd make Michael Bay blush, we can only hope each club takes a step back and asks:
Adrian Gonzalez would create a lineup void if he departed the Red Sox, but the Dodgers might soon find payroll inflexibility if they took on three huge Boston contracts.
CAPTIONBy David Richard, US PRESSWIREIs this good for the company?
It's easy to understand both franchises' motivations for making the deal.
The Dodgers, with new managing general partner Mark Walter showing he's the real Magic man of this ownership group, are ready to power-wash the grim final days of the Frank McCourt era, papering over the embarrassment of a bankrupt franchise with wads of cash and shiny new players.
The Red Sox, ravaged by tens of millions of dollars of injured personnel, embarrassed by clubhouse chicken 'n beer, rogue text messages to ownership and a manager who seems as bad a fit for the Hub as many imagined, are all too eager to hit the reset button.
So sending Adrian Gonzalez, Carl Crawford, Josh Beckett (and the $261 million owed them) along with Nick Punto (congrats, you're now a trivia question!) to the Dodgers gives the Red Sox a new life. And rolling the dice on unproven but intriguing talents such as Rubby De La Rosa and Jerry Sands may yield a big return.
And if you're a Dodger fan, it's hard not to salivate over the notion of an offensively-dysfunctional club having one of baseball's great run-producers in Gonzalez bracketed by Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier. Or the production potential of a star-studded and utterly athletic outfield manned by a healthy Crawford, Kemp and Ethier, all signed through at least 2017.
But let's stop looking at this through a sepia-toned lens for just a second and ponder what's not good.
First, the Red Sox.
General manager Ben Cherington may very well be seen as a conquering hero if he dumps the $32 million owed an embattled Beckett the next two seasons, along with the $157 million due the suddenly brittle Crawford and the $127 million Gonzalez will get through 2018.
But the Red Sox, with their two World Series titles last decade (and that seems a long time ago, yeah?), are playing in a market big on expectations and short on patience. Taking TNT to the roster is a great thing, but only if an organization has the time and space to build things back up properly.
In Boston, that ain't happening.
So while it's great that the Red Sox would be shedding the absurdly awful Crawford contract, and ridding an apparent clubhouse scourge in Beckett, and at the least the proverbial "bad fit in Boston" in Gonzalez, it does create one problem.
There is no middle of the order.
Gonzalez, though his power numbers have been in some decline, would be no small loss. He didn't turn into the monster many predicted hitting at Fenway Park, but he did produce a .957 OPS in an MVP-caliber 2011, and despite a lackluster 2012 campaign, he's still a .300 hitter this year in a season of poor health and many distractions.
Take away his automatic 30-homer, 100-RBI production, and what do you have?
An outstanding young hitter in Will Middlebrooks, and no one around him.
So, remember all that cash the Red Sox just saved?
Well, they better go out and lavish much it upon Josh Hamilton, whose leverage would skyrocket with this deal.
And here's the biggest problem with dealing Gonzalez: He's a relative bargain.
Gonzalez agreed to a seven-year, $154 million contract extension in December 2011. Since then, the game's financial landscape has undergone a Jenner-esque alteration.
Albert Pujols extracted $240 million from the Angels. Joey Votto was guaranteed an additional quarter-billion dollars by the Reds.
And now, the Red Sox must venture into this market for a power hitter, suddenly the scarcest commodity in the game.
Hamilton is the only legitimate bopper available this winter. He is well in position to make Gonzalez's contract look like chump change.
And he would come with the caveats of a body that sends him to the disabled list at least once every year, as well as the specter of his addiction history.
Good fit in Boston? Yeah, maybe Gonzalez doesn't look so bad now.
And as for the Dodgers?
Well, it's true that any sun-splashed day at Chavez Ravine is all the brighter when Frank McCourt doesn't own the team. But it's almost like Joseph and Co. are taking the club back to the pre-McCourt days, when Fox owned the Dodgers.
That era actually was less successful than the McCourt Era, marked by bad contracts (Kevin Brown, $105 million) and the lack of a cohesive plan.
Which begs the question: What, exactly, is the Dodgers' plan?
General manager Ned Colletti, who is assured of having a job exactly as long as a Mitt Romney campaign employee, seems to be throwing players and money around as if this were the be-all, end-all season for the Dodgers.
Let's just take Beckett and Hanley Ramirez, who the Dodgers acquired on July 25. Two guys in decline who had on-field and clubhouse issues in their most recent stops. Suddenly, it's good business to deal prospects and take on the roughly $63 million for two seasons of Beckett and Ramirez?
It should be noted that the Dodgers were 53-46 and 2 1/2 games out of first when they dealt for Ramirez. Since then: 14-12, and 2 1/2 games out of first.
And as for Crawford? Well congratulations, Barry Zito! You no longer have the worst contract in the NL West. Crawford, who had Tommy John surgery Thursday and may not be ready for the start of next season, will earn at least $20 million for the next five seasons, bringing in $21 million in 2017, when he's 35.
If Fenway Park did a number on his offensive production, just wait 'til he tries hitting at Dodger Stadium.
And that's ultimately where this is a bad fit.
Crawford-Kemp-Gonzalez-Ramirez-Ethier make for a nifty 2-6 in the lineup. In 2013, they'll also make a combined $90 million.
That's more than halfway to baseball's luxury tax threshold of $178 million for five players - one coming off Tommy John surgery.
And that's without paying a single dollar toward a pitcher.
Trouble is, pitching still rules in the NL West. And while the Dodgers have one of the best in Clayton Kershaw, the next four of Beckett, Chad Billingsley, Chris Capuano and Aaron Harang won't exactly send Giants fans crying into their glasses of Pinot Noir.
Oh, and by the way, Mr. Joseph: Do you still have a spare $160 million lying around for Mr. Kershaw in 2015?
Hey dude, if you wanna skyrocket past the luxury tax time and again, good on you. But collecting aging and wildly expensive malcontents isn't exactly the most progressive way to go about building a franchise.
Surely Joseph can spare the $1.30 to Redbox a copy of Moneyball one of these nights?
Maybe he ought to do just that this weekend. Let this deal swirl around a bit, sleep on it, wake up and see if it's really the right thing to do.
Which brings us to another old baseball saw: Sometimes the best trades are the ones you don't make.
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/dailypitch/post/2012/08/dodgers-red-sox-trade-/1