You are not looking carefully at the data. It is the younger crowd that is forming the bulk of the new cases. This is the segment of the population that is least vaccinated, because all the States are prioritizing vaccination by age, and it is also the segment of the population that is most active socially, due to being at schools and forced to interact with others, and also it's the segment of the population that is least careful because of immature behaviors on "Spring Break". Yesterday the United States set a record for the number of vaccinations administered, so these numbers will be coming down as the youth get vaccinated.
The Canadian surge is more concerning because the pace of vaccinations is not being stepped up to correspondingly blunt the surges that are "rolling" through the Country. This is the reason for the CDC Level 4 travel advisory.
A younger crowd is forming the bulk of cases both sides of the border.
Our over 70 population is mostly vaccinated. They are well into the 60 population. They are just starting the 55.
You definitely have a head start on vaccination but you will see rapid acceleration of vaccination in Canada in April and May. With vaccine hesitency, I suspect Canada surpasses the US in June.
Thursday Quebec vaccinated 69thousand people. Adjust for population size and that's an equivalent of 2.8Million for the US.
That's where the US was maybe 3 weeks ago.
The probability of everyone being vaccinated (with a first dose) by St-Jean Baptiste is very possible.
The US has a higher percent of overall population vaccinated. But the infection rate in many places is as bad as Canada. And many of the people causing it have no intention of getting vaccinated.
The variant shit show during vaccine ramp-up is all over the world. I completely agree on travel advisories, but seeing some of the restrictions being lifted on domestic flights and the variant rampage, maybe they should put some on some domestic travel.
My bet : borders open in August and while it will appear to be a bi-lateral decision, Canada will be the last to say OK. Opening the border is very low on the federal governments priority