Here's some interesting results at Gallup:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx
Unfortunately, I have to agree with Doc on this one. I didn't say Bama Baby was going to lose. I did say he's not as popular as the media and our leftest friends think he is. Obama will probably be re-elected based upon the following facts:
1) OK, let's address the "elephant in the room". He's black. The black population in the US votes almost (notice this modifier) totally along racial guidelines. Regardless of what Obama does, short of giving the keys to the Chinese, he's going to get at the lowest 85% of the black vote. His approval ratings among blacks usually hangs around 90%. So when you have some 30%+ of the poplation voting for bama right out of the box it's an uphill climb for anyone not black. Cain scared Obama because the conservatives came up with a black man to actually challenge him. So Obama quietly went out of the country while the liberal press of Chicago & NYC chopped Cain up with total BS.
2) Obama has the Chicago Mafia Political Machine behind him. This will insure the critical State of Ohio, while the large Muslim popluation in Michigan will insure that state.
3) Obama's extreme left wing agenda will insure his support from that sector. Yes he gave up the Jewish vote with his stabbing in the back of the US's only true friend in the Middle East (Israel), but the US Muslim vote is now strong enough to push him over the edge in New York State.
Bottom line is, barring a miracle, Obama will be re-elected by the traditional minorities and a careful selection and newer targeting of specific special interest groups. The US popluation will be forced to endure another 4 years of Obama. In summary, Obama has managed to blend just the right amount of racial & class warfare together to remain in power. Quite similar to many Arab Countries & Southeast Asian Communist regimes. So while I memorialized Doc's promise, I doubt he'll be forced to honor it. He's made a good bet.
But the bet was free, without downside to me.....so what the hell.
In fact, if Obama loses I'll attend a GT and buy everyone a beer. Don't bother booking your hotel room at the HDLM on that one, because the chances of getting your beer aren't good. Again, another zero chance bet on my part.....LOL