Jalimon makes some very valid points. Tanking doesn't necessarily mean that things will change dramatically. A lot of things have to happen for success to happen.
Let's take the Leafs for example. Let's face it: the Leafs finished in last place at the right time. It happened when a generational/franchise player like Auston Matthews became available in the draft. In most draft years you can't find players like him. But prior to drafting Auston Matthews the Leafs had the fortune of drafting the great Mitch Marner, whom many believe will one day be as highly regarded as Matthews.
At the time Marner was drafted many (including me) believed that the Leafs had made a mistake and should have drafted Noah Hanifin. At draft time Marner was only the 6th-ranked North American player and that's not counting top-ranked European Mikko Rantanen, who currently leads the league in points. Hanifin was drafted immediately after Marner by the Canes.
A year prior to Marner the Leafs drafted William Nylander 8th overall. In 2012 the Leafs drafted Morgan Rielly 5th overall. A year later it was Freddy Gauthier in the 21st spot but he's barely an NHL player.
What i'm saying is that the only time the Leafs literally 'tanked' was the year they ended up drafting Auston Matthews. But without the likes of Morgan Rielly, William Nylander & Mitch Marner the Leafs are not contenders. And without trading for goalie Frederik Andersen 2 years ago the Leafs are definitely not contenders. He's as important to the team as the likes of Tavares, Matthews, Marner, Nylander & Rielly. Andersen is now considered among the top goaltenders in hockey & he also leads in number of shots against year after year.
A lot of things also went right when the Leafs decided to go for Matthews. Sure they finished last but there was no guarantee they'd win the lottery. They very easily could have ended up picking second or later. Sure, Patrick Laine wouldn't have been too shabby of a pick. But i doubt drafting him instead of Matthews would have had such a dramatic impact on the franchise. Auston Matthews is a great centre and he makes players around him much better than they really are. Laine is a winger & scorer and doesn't have the same role on the team. Other players may make him better, actually. He's also not the type of leader that Matthews already is. Matthews is already a candidate for the captaincy of this prestigious franchise. I'm not too certain Laine will ever be named captain. Leadership just isn't in his make-up.
But let's be honest: Auston Matthews to the Leafs doesn't happen if the Leafs don't end up trading Phil Kessel & Dion Phaneuf for next-to-nothing. What they got back for those players were journeymen players & several didn't even end up playing for them. Sure they got Kasperi Kapanen in the Kessel trade but it took Kapanen several seasons in order to be NHL-ready. Nylander's absence also greatly contributed to his success. By ridding themselves of their two top players in Kessel & Phaneuf the Leafs were able to deep further down into the standings. Once Kessel was gone THE LEAFS WERE LITERALLY A TEAM UNABLE TO SCORE GOALS!!! And with Phaneuf gone the various goalies suddenly began feeling like they were facing a firing squad game after game!
And finally, success comes from the top down. The Leafs would not have been able to come up with that plan & later success had management not underwent a complete overhaul. Bringing in Brendan Shanahan as President of hockey operations turned the tide. He then hired Lou Lamoriello as his GM with Mark Hunter & Kyle Dubas as assistant GMs. They then went after the top coach in the league when he became available and managed to outbid Detroit in landing Mike Babcock. Shanahan and Lamoriello then totally replaced the scouting department and then decided to rebuild the farm team (Toronto Marlies) by signing one of the top young coaches in the game: Sheldon Keefe. The emphasis was on the farm team developing talent for the big team. And last season, the Toronto Marlies ended up winning the Calder Cup while in the process breaking many minor league records. They often appeared unbeatable and didn't lose too many games during the entire season.
What i'm saying is that without Shanahan and his management team there is no Auston Matthews. There is no Mitch Marner, who actually was a Mark Hunter pick since Hunter knew him from his days with the London Knights. Had Hunter not been there the Leafs likely would have picked Noah Hanifin. And without Shanahan and Lamoriello there is no Frederik Andersen trade. And without all of this there is likely no John Tavares signing during this offseason.
A lot of things had to happen for the Leafs to be considered Stanley Cup contenders today and it wasn't by pure accident. It took the right people pulling the strings and the right players becoming available at the right time.
The Leafs have continued their winning without Auston Matthews in the lineup. He's missed close to 15 games so far & he'll finally be returning to the lineup tonight. And by the end of the week i'm expecting William Nylander to be signed & ready to report to work. Maybe this is their year, after all. But who knows? A lot of things have to happen for the Leafs to win and it's very easy for the tide to turn around if some things start to go sour, like injuries to key players. That's why for me the most important on the team right is Frederik Andersen. Without him in the lineup i doubt the Leafs can make a run for the Stanley Cup.