Little early to be making predictions, Doc, but let me weigh in here on what you've posted.
1. The Orioles were one of the luckiest teams in history last year. 29-9 in one run games, 16-2 in extra innings. They just can't do that again. And they did nothing this winter. They're almost a stone cold lock for the cellar.
2. The Yankees can't be projected. Of the 15 primary players (9 hitters, 5 pitchers, Closer), all but Cano, Granderson, and Hughes are question marks. They could win 87 games, they could win 75. The Yankees are going to have a lot of trouble scoring runs.
3. The Sox have almost as many question marks as the Yankees, though the thing that has me thinking they'll beat the Yankees is the depth of their starting pitching. Beyond the 5 starters, they have another 6-7 guys they can plug in when they need help in the rotation. They also have some $25 available for help at the deadline. The Red Sox could compete, though they're hardly projectable at this point.
4. The Rays have fewer questions marks, though they also have less offense. They are loaded in the pitching department as usual. They look to me, at this early point, to project to fight the Sox for second place.
5. The Jays look loaded, but again, quite a few question marks as we look to see how they bounce back from injury.