Pierre Poilievre may be winning but he could still lose
Just about every reputable poll shows the new Conservative Leader ahead. Publicly, by as much as eight points. Internal polls are rumoured to show a ten-point gap. So, if an election were held right now, Poilievre would win it. He might even win a majority. Is there anything that can stop him? Yes, there is. In politics, there are always things that can defeat you. In Pierre Poilievre’s case, there are five.
- Now, political parties are always full of idiots. Pierre Poilievre could be defeated by just one ill-timed, ill-considered remark by one of his MPs who is an idiot. Easily.
- His debate performance: Don’t assume Poilievre is as good a debater as his partisans claim.
- His life: In Poilievre’s case, his vulnerability is also his life, as reflected in his C.V.: he has never held a real job outside politics. Never. Apart from being a paperboy, or doing collections as a teenager, or writing a few loaded stories for a defunct conservative magazine, Pierre Poilievre has never worked outside politics. Ever. That — along with becoming eligible for a full MP’s pension at the age of 31 — is something you will be hearing a lot about in the coming election.
- Past decisions: Pierre Poilievre has two big problems related to his past decisions. One is his unqualified support for the convoy lunatics, which is going to come roaring back onto the front pages this fall when the leaders of the Ottawa occupation face criminal prosecution. Poilievre’s fetish for the convoy types shreds his commitment to law and order at a time when Canadians want more law and order. The other big problem is his tongue. The Tory leader is a master of the verbal quip and barb. Though not a lawyer, he has an impressive ability to cut through the noise and get quoted. But many of those quotes — calling Stephane Dion a “tar baby,” suggesting Indigenous people don’t know how to do “hard work” — will come back to haunt him.
- Him: Poilievre, like many other conservative politicians who have tried and failed is engaging and smart in private, and decidedly uncharismatic in public. He doesn’t have the charm that Mulroney or Trudeau did and do. He often seems angry, and angry at the country (eg. “Canada is broken,” when the only thing that is “broken” is its politics).
Those are extracts from this article:
https://torontosun.com/opinion/colu...lievre-may-be-winning-but-he-could-still-lose
We are not close to an election as NPD will support the Liberal Party.
Poilièvre will have a lot of occasions to put is feet in his mouth as he did in the past years. In politic, timing is everything, and from now Poilièvre can only go down.